NCAA NFL Wagering Probabilities – Fight Hunger Bowl – BC vs Nevada

3rd January, 2011 - Posted by tang - No Comments

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The Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl on Sunday, January ninth is a matchup between Nevada’s running attack and the Boston College run defense.



Nevada is a big fave in college nfl prospects but the matchup could in fact like Boston College. Whilst the Boston media might have you believe BC got picked for the lowest of the small of ACC bowls, it’s a fairly good matchup thinking about BC will confront a team with the second-highest week 15 BCS ranking of any ACC bowl opponent. The quality of the opponent is reflected in the starting point spread: the Eagles open as a 9 1/2 point longshot. Actually? That much. Whilst it’s correct I’m an unabashed homer, that appears a big high, no?

Nevada -9, total 55 at the internet sportsbook – This line appears truly high thinking about Boston College has the best run defense in the country. The one issue that Nevada does truly well is run the ball but they are going to be facing a BC defense that granted just 72.7 rushing yards per match this season. Nevada is 3rd in total in total offense and 3rd in rushing offense. They’re headed by Colin Kaepernick who is a dual threat but is mainly known for his running. The Wolfpack also have Vai Taua who won 22 TDs this season. Nevada will be running into a defense headed by linebackers Mark Herzlich and Luke Kuechly. The 2 headed a BC defense that was strong all season. Kuechly headed the nation with 171 tackles this season. BC also likes to run the ball with running backs Montel Harris and freshman Andre Williams. Nevada’s defense was nothing extraordinary this season so Boston College should be able to move the ball on the ground and score points in this game although they just won over 26 points once this season.

Game Facts – BC will be playing at AT&T Park in a bowl match for the 2nd straight season. They lost last season 24-13 to USC in the Emerald Bowl. Nevada has lost their last 4 bowl games including 45-10 to SMU last season. Looking at the trends we find that the Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their previous five games in total. The Eagles are 0-4 versus the college nfl gambling probabilities in their last 4 bowl games. The Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their previous five games in total. They’re 1-4 ATS in their previous five bowl games. Looking at the total, the Eagles are a team that goes under. The Under is 5-0 in college nfl prospects in the Eagles previous five games in total. The Under is 12-1 in the Eagles last 13 non-conference games. The Under is 4-1 in the Eagles previous five Bowl games. The Boston College defense should keep this a small scoring match which means it goes under.


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